Thursday, February 25, 2016
Warmists still have a capacity to surprise us
After the shoddy attempt by Tom Karl to "adjust" the warming "hiatus" out of existence, a brand new paper comes as a surprise. In it, some hard-core Warmist scientists REVIVE the hiatus. Perhaps they are scientists enough to conclude that they cannot just ignore the satellite data. Though they do not accept the complete plateau that the satellites indicate. They say that the temperature rise has slowed down to a crawl but there is still some warming going on.
The abstract is below. It is from a long narrative article which looks at possible explanations for the pause -- and they conclude that a serendipitious combination of natural factors has been cancelling out the influence of increased CO2 levels. But the argument is all very "post hoc" and vague. You can explain anything after the event but that is trivial. It's making accurate predictions that support a scientific theory -- and the authors admit that their predictions got it wrong. And a combination of many effects being needed to build the explanation just makes the explanation more and more implausible and less testable. It's just a last ditch effort to keep the show on the road.
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
By John C. Fyfe, Gerald A. Meehl, Matthew H. England, Michael E. Mann, Benjamin D. Santer, Gregory M. Flato, Ed Hawkins, Nathan P. Gillett,Shang-Ping Xie,Yu Kosaka & Neil C. Swart
It has been claimed that the early-2000s global warming slowdown or hiatus, characterized by a reduced rate of global surface warming, has been overstated, lacks sound scientific basis, or is unsupported by observations. The evidence presented here contradicts these claims.
Posted by John J. Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.).