Saturday, June 04, 2016
The Arctic is now greener than it was in 1984
This was entirely predictable from the higher levels of CO2 now in the atmosphere. We have seen the same in the Sahel, a near-equatorial desert region. The whole world is benefiting from the fertilizing effects of more CO2 in the atmosphere. Its negative effects are just an unsupported theory.
Note that a whopping 30 per cent cut in man-made CO2 emissions during the Great Depression didn't even cause a 1 ppm drop in the atmosphere's CO2. You will see here that there was in fact a steady rise in atmospheric CO2 during that period --from 1930 to 1940. Thus it is impossible to assert that the increase in atmospheric CO2 stems from human burning of fossil fuels.
High CO2 is a GOOD thing. The positive effects are visible and the negative effects cannot be found
What was once Arctic tundra in the cold plains of North America is now blooming, new Nasa images have revealed.
Researchers analysed 87,000 images taken between 1984 and 2012 by Landsat satellites in the most detailed look yet at plant life across Alaska and Canada.
It found the northern reaches of North America are getting greener, and almost a third of the land cover – much of it Arctic tundra – is looking more like landscapes found in warmer ecosystems.
The images is created from an analysis of 87,000 images taken between 1984 and 2012 by Landsat satellites.
It shows the greening trend of the region, with areas that have become green shown in green, and the diminishing brown tunda in brown.
Scientists have observed grassy tundras changing to scrublands, and shrub growing bigger and denser
The new Landsat study further supports previous work that has shown changing vegetation in Arctic and boreal North America.
Landsat is a joint NASA/U.S. Geological Survey program that provides the longest continuous space-based record of Earth's land vegetation in existence.
'It shows the climate impact on vegetation in the high latitudes,' said Jeffrey Masek, a researcher who worked on the study and the Landsat 9 project scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.
Temperatures are warming faster in the Arctic than elsewhere, which has led to longer seasons for plants to grow in and changes to the soils.
Scientists have observed grassy tundras changing to shrublands, and shrubs growing bigger and denser – changes that could have impacts on regional water, energy and carbon cycles.
With Landsat 5 and Landsat 7 data, Masek and his colleague Junchang Ju, a remote sensing scientist at Goddard, found that there was extensive greening in the tundra of western Alaska, the northern coast of Canada, and the tundra of Quebec and Labrador.
While northern forests greened in Canada, they tended to decline in Alaska.
Overall, the scientists found that 29.4 percent of the region greened up, especially in shrublands and sparsely vegetated areas, while 2.9 percent showed vegetation decline.
'The greening trend was unmistakable,' the researchers wrote in an April 2016 paper in Remote Sensing of Environment.
Previous surveys of the vegetation had taken a big-picture view of the region using coarse-resolution satellite sensors.
To get a more detailed picture of the 4.1 million square-mile area, scientists used the Landsat 5 and Landsat 7 satellites.
Landsat, like other satellite missions, can use the amount of visible and near-infrared light reflected by the green, leafy vegetation of grasses, shrubs and trees to characterize the vegetation.
Then, with computer programs that track each individual pixel of data over time, researchers can see if an area is greening – if more vegetation is growing, or if individual plants are getting larger and leafier.
If, however, the vegetation becomes sparser, the scientists would classify that area as browning.
Researchers have used similar techniques to study Arctic and northern vegetation with other satellite instruments, such as the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR).
But Landsat can see smaller differences across a landscape – it takes one measurement for each 30-by-30 meter (98-by-98 foot) parcel of land, which is about the size of a baseball diamond. AVHRR collected one measurement for each 4-by-4 kilometer (2.5-by-2.5 mile) area.
'We can see more detail with Landsat, and we can see the trend more reliably,' Ju said.
With finer-resolution and better calibrated data from Landsat, the researchers were able to mask out areas that burned, or are covered in water, to focus on vegetation changes.
The more detailed look – now available to other researchers as well – will also let scientists see if a correlation exists between habitat characteristics and greening or browning trends.
'The resolution with Landsat is drastically improved, it lets you look at the local effects of things like topography, such as in areas where you might have small woodlands or open areas,' Masek said.
'You can do detailed studies of how climate impacts vary with geography.'
Adding the Landsat study to previous studies using the AVHRR sensor also adds to the certainty of what's going on, Masek said.
While the two tools to measure the northern vegetation did produce different results in some places, overall the trend was the similar – more plants, or bigger plants, in the Arctic reaches of North America.
With the higher resolution Landsat data, the researchers also found a lot of differences within areas – one pixel would be brown, and its neighbors green, noted Ju.
'It's very localized,' he said.
'The vegetation is responding to the microclimates. That's the benefit of using Landsat data, is that we can reveal this spatial variation over very short distances.'
With the large map complete, researchers will focus on these short distances – looking at the smaller scale to see what might control the greening patterns, whether it's local topography, nearby water sources, or particular types of habitat.
They also plan to investigate forested areas, particularly in the greening Quebec.
'One of the big questions is, 'Will forest biomes migrate with warming climate?' There hasn't been much evidence of it to date,' Masek said. 'But we can zoom in and see if it's changing.'
Posted by John J. Ray (M.A.; Ph.D.).